THE CHEAP SEATS – Fantasy Football Preview, Quarterback

Posted: August 9, 2010 by The Cheap Seat Fan in Gaming, NFL
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As evidenced by last night’s Hall of Fame game, the NFL season is back upon us again, and with it the premier fantasy sports season coming along as well. While backups and bums take 90% of the preseason games, it’s the stars that make the game go, and here are where those stars align best for the fantasy football world.

It’s important to remember that the best player is always the greatest fantasy player. For example, here is the quarterback world, there are not a lot of people who would put Aaron Rodgers over Peyton Manning if you had one game to play, but in very few rack up the stats like Mr. Rodgers does on Sundays, with Green Bay’s wide open attack. It’s important to go with what is going to put up the best numbers, because while Peyton’s real life Colts may win nearly every week, Rodgers could do way more with an 8-8 Packers squad, because he’s throwing a lot because they are behind more often than the Colts are. It’s all about building the best balance you can for your “fantasy” team.

Rodgers better than Peyton? In the fantasy world, this is not far from the truth.

In this several part prep guide at the upcoming fantasy football season, we’ll take a look at whose the best producers over at each spot, how they did last season, whether there is room for improvement or is a decline coming up and where is the best place to look to add them at. Starting off today with football’s most essential position, but one of fantasy’s supporting spots…

Quarterback

On the actual field 9 out of 10 times, your offense will go as far as your quarterback can take them. However, in fantasy that pressure most often falls to the running back spot. Having a great quarterback is off course an asset, but a successful team can be built with an average quarterback. In most leagues, only one quarterback is in play at a time, so the need to build depth at other positions is more essential, because there are always QBs to have. However, selecting the right one at the right time can often separate an average team from a great one, much like real life, so making the patient pick is essential.

1. Drew Brees-New Orleans Saints

–          2009: 4,388 yards, 34 TD, 11 Int, 70.6% Comp

–          3 Year Average: 4,626 yards, 32 TD, 15 Int. 67.7% Comp

–          Summary: He is in a class of his own for sustained high numbers. He has a deep stable of receivers and every offensive player in New Orleans stock can make the catch. With the increased presence of the run game, it actually opens up more downfield opportunities for him. A safe pick in either the middle first to early second rounds. Trend: Steady

Brees going to look to pass, a lot, as usual. A safe non-running back to build around early.

2. Aaron Rodgers-Green Bay Packers

–          2009: 4,434 yards, 30 TD, 7 Int. 64.7% Comp

–          3 Year Average: 2,896 yards, 20 TD, 7 Int. 66.5% Comp

–          Summary: Rodgers is in only his third year as starter, but has made 4,000 plus yards a routine. Another QB with great vision and many options, he features nearly a different receiver as his prime target weekly. This makes it nearly impossible to stop him and an improved offensive line should actually make it easier on him this year. Also a threat to run as well, with 5 rushing touchdowns in ’09. A safe pick in the late first to second round. Trend: Steady

3. Peyton Manning-Indianapolis Colts

–          2009: 4,500 yards, 33 TD, 16 Int. 68.8% Comps

–          3 Year Average: 4,180 yards, 30 TD, 14 Int. 67% Comp

–          Summary: The standard of consistency in all of football, Manning is a guarantee to play 16 games, throw for 4,000 yards and 25 touchdowns. He makes essentially any receiver a threat and has two premier targets in Reggie Wayne and Dallas Clark. The safest buy for week to week steady contribution at the position. A solid round 2 pick and steal in the 3rd. Trend: Steady

4. Tom Brady-New England Patriots

–          2009: 4,398 yards, 28 TD, 13 Int. 65.7% Comp

–          3 Year Average*: 4,244 yards, 34 TD, 11 Int. 65.4% Comp (*excludes 2008 injury year)

–          Summary: Brady features perhaps the best wide receiver tandem in the NFL in Randy Moss and Wes Welker, which give him high touchdown and reception targets, respectively. While he probably won’t reach is record-breaking 2008 form, he is still a difference maker that can win some games by himself. Solid late 2nd to 3rd round pick. Trend: Steady

5. Tony Romo-Dallas Cowboys

–          2009: 4,483 yards, 26 TD, 9 Int. 63.1% Comp

–          3 Year Average: 4047 yards, 29 TD, 14 Int. 62.9% Comp

–          Summary: Coming off his best overall season, Romo has added a new option for this season in rookie Dez Bryant. This gives him another downfield threat to go with Miles Austin, which could spell potentially even more yards/touchdowns. Romo could be a dark horse for the MVP this year, even if the injured Cowboys running game is able to shoulder more of the load. Safe for the 3rd and 4th rounds, a steal from there on out. Trend: Upwards

With all of the targets he has at his disposal, Romo should look like he's at the firing range weekly.

6. Matt Schaub-Houston Texans

–          2009: 4,770 yards, 29 TD, 15 Int. 67.9% Comp

–          3 Year Average: 3,351 yards, 17 TD, 11 Int. 66.8% Comp

–          Summary: Schaub is hard to peg due to his injury history, which cannot be ignored. If he keeps his health on par this year, he’s a top flight option. While it’s hard to imagine him getting much better, he is still coupled with league’s most productive receiver in Andre Johnson, which is worth having him on your roster alone. Safe to grab from the 4th rounds on down. Trend: Steady

7. Philip Rivers-San Diego Chargers

–          2009: 4,254 Yards, 28 TD, 9 Int. 65.2% Comp

–          3 Year Average: 3,805 Yards, 27 TD, 11 Int. 63.5% Comp

–          Summary: Rivers is another consistent threat that stays around the same level yearly. He passed 4,200 yards for the first time in ’09 and could be headed past that in 2010, with the departure of LaDainian Tomilinson and emergence of Malcolm Floyd. Solid 5th round choice. Trend: Upwards

8. Brett Favre-Minnesota Vikings

–          2009: 4,202 yards, 33 TD, 7 Int. 68.4% Comp

–          3 Year Average: 3,943 yards, 27 TD, 14 Int. 66.8% Comp

–          Summary: A dangerous pickup with his non-committal to playing again. However the numbers are spectacular for any QB, let alone a 40-year-old. He’s a definite to suit up every week regardless, and he has the keys to a very dangerous Minnesota offense. The very definition of a high risk, high rewards pick. Round 6 or 7 and below is safe regardless of status. Trend: Steady (if available)

9. Eli Manning-New York Giants

–          2009: 4,021 Yards, 27 TD, 14 Int. 62.3% Comp

–          3 Year Average: 3531 yards, 23 TD, 14 Int. 59.5% Comp

–          Summary: He has spent every moment of his career in big bro’s considerable shadow, but he quietly put up his best year of career last season. With more emphasis going towards the growth of Steve Smith and Hakeem Nicks, Eli’s should continue to grow. 6th/7th round pick. Trend: Upwards

With the Giants looking to pass more than ever, the "other" Manning's value skyrockets.

10. Donovan McNabb-Washington Redskins

–          2009: 3,553 yards, 22 TD, 10 Int. 60.3% Comp

–          3 Year Average: 3,597 yards, 21 TD, 9 Int. 60.7% Comp

–          Summary: McNabb is steady, but will moving into brand new reigns this year and is always prone to a few tragically bad games, but just has many spectacular ones. It’s best to utilize him as a compliment to a team that has plenty of other weapons and he can be used to be the extra push. Rounds 9 and down for Donovan. Trend: Downwards

11. Carson Palmer-Cincinnati Bengals

–          2009: 3,094 yards, 21 TD, 13 Int. 60.5% Comp

–          3 Year Average: 2,652 yards, 16 TD, 12 Int. 61.1% Comp

–          Summary: Palmer found his health last year and operated the Bengals offense close to how he did before his series of injuries from 2007-08. With Terrell Owens joining the fold among other new features, the Cincy offense should be better again. Solid Round 8 to 10 pick. Trend: Steady

12. Joe Flacco-Baltimore Ravens

–          2009: 3,613 yards, 21 TD, 12 Int. 63.1% Comp

–          2 year Average: 3,292 yards, 17 TD, 12 Int. 61.7% Comp

–          Summary: He has improved every year, despite being in run based offense and not having receivers that could truly stretch the field. That’s a problem of the past with Anquan Boldin and Donte Stallworth coming to Baltimore. He may have the strongest arm in football, and it won’t be a rare scene to see him featuring it to his new options. He could be a real steal in the middle rounds, if you can grab him around round 9 he could be a steal. Trend: Upwards

13. Ben Roethlisberger-Pittsburgh Steelers

–          2009: 4,328 yards, 26 TD, 12 TD, 66.6% Comp

–          3 Year Average: 3,594 yards, 25 TD, 12 Int. 63.9% Comp

–          Summary: Big Ben gets this position due to his pending suspension of at least four games to start the season. His talent places him much higher, but it’s a jump to take a player whose availability isn’t immediate in the first 7 rounds. Look to him around round 8 and below, he be worth it by weeks seven to nine. Trend: Downwards.

Big Ben's suspension will keep him off the field early in the year, making his draft value very volatile.

14. Jay Cutler-Chicago Bears

–          2009: 3,666 yards, 27 TD, 26 Int. 60.8% Comp

–          3 year average: 3,896 yards, 24 TD, 19 Int. 62.1% Comp

–          Summary: Cutler’s first season in Chicago looked like a horror movie at some times, but he still managed to accumulate strong totals. However those totals came throughout a rough week to week battle in his awful transition from Denver and its thin air. If he cuts down on the interceptions he once again becomes a solid second tier pick. Since that’s far from certain, peg him around round 9 or so. Trend: Steady

15. Vince Young-Tennessee Titans

–          2009: 1,879 yards, 10 TD, 7 Int. 58.7% Comp

–          3 Year Average*: 2208 yards, 10 TD, 12 Int. 57.5% Comp (Non starter year in 2008 removed)

–          Summary: 2010 was a renaissance of a season for Young, who took over for the  Titans early in the season. He used his combination of speed and arm to have a solid comeback season. If the Titans feature Chris Johnson less, Young could benefit. Even if they keep the same game plan, his numbers will improve by having the job all season. Round 10 is safe area. Trend: Steady

Top Sleeper Options: Matt Ryan-Atlanta, Kevin Kolb-Philadelphia, Alex Smith-San Francisco, Matt Cassell-Kansas City, Matt Stafford-Detroit

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  1. […] This post was mentioned on Twitter by Matt Whitener, Matt Whitener. Matt Whitener said: C.S.P – Fantasy Football Preview, Quarterbacks: http://wp.me/pUMnd-78 […]

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